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Expert dataIn diligence

Forecasting archive with written reasoning

More than ten years of forecasts on 1,000+ questions, with the forecasters’ written reasoning and resolved outcomes.

Expert forecasting archive · 10+ years · resolved questions

Request access
Questions
1,000+
Years
10+
Forecasts
+ reasoning
Outcomes
Resolved

Approved buyers get the full listing

  • Full description
  • What’s included (4 assets)
  • Handling, rights and sample

Once you’re approved and it fits, Smelted introduces you to the seller. You sign an NDA with them and review a sample.

In diligence. Smelted is confirming scope and rights with the seller.

License terms at a glance
  • Non-exclusive license for the uses named in it: training, evals or agent environments.
  • Training permission doesn’t include public release, resale or sublicensing of the raw data.
  • No attempts to re-identify people, customers or the seller.
  • Raw data is deleted at the end of the term; models already trained may remain, as the license sets out.

Draft agreements: NDA template, license agreement.

SMD-85041 · Last reviewed Oct 23, 2026